The developments in Yemen accelerated despite Ali Abdullah Saleh’s strong insistence on maintaining power and despite the extensive efforts of Saudi Arabia and the United States to maintain their dependent regime – with or without Saleh.
It practically led to the collapse of the power of the West and Saudi Arabia in this land.Of course, Saudi Arabia and the West tried to make known the name of “Abd Rabu Mansour Hadi” as a deputy and a valid replacement so that no one would notice the fall of the dependent regime and its immediate effects would not reach other dependent regimes in the peninsula and outside of it, but the report and also the people immediately After Saleh’s escape, he showed that the deviant movement of the US-Saudi Arabia could not have an effect. But what happened on the meaningful day (15 June) in Yemen is much bigger than what has been imagined so far, the effects of the people’s victory over the dictator, which is more dependent on Yemen, seriously affects “Arabia”.There are some points about the developments in Yemen and their importance:
۱- The country of Yemen, with an area of about 500,000 square kilometers and a population of about 22 million people, is a part of the Arabian Peninsula, and therefore the importance of these developments must be examined within the framework of the international and regional situation of the peninsula – a combination of seven countries – take The Arabian Peninsula is considered the most important bottleneck for energy, goods transit and international trade market. This situation, when added to the situation of the surrounding countries of the Persian Gulf – Iran and Iraq – shows its increasing importance. Almost half of the strategic energy reserves – oil and gas – are located in this region, and among them, guaranteeing the problem-free export of energy to the western countries is of particular importance, and in the conditions that Iran is the main country hostile to the west in the region. has changed and the West has lost or is losing its control over the country of Iraq, the control of the peninsula has become very important. The occurrence of the revolution in Yemen and the crisis situation in Bahrain make the West understand that there is no guarantee for the continuation of Western authority in the region and control of energy, while Yemen has at least 4 special geopolitical situations, the Yemeni elites over the Gulf of Aden, the entire elites. And it has no rival over the world’s most important strategic strait – Bab al-Mandeb – complete sovereignty over the sensitive waters of the Red Sea, Yemen’s dominance over the strategic mountains of “Maran” – which starts from the coast of Aden and extends to the Taif region in the southwest – with this description The developments in Yemen lead to major changes in the peninsula and even the surrounding areas – the Horn of Africa, etc.
In order to prevent the immediate transfer of the waves of the Yemeni revolution to the peninsula, the United States and Saudi Arabia first tried to transfer power in Yemen within the framework of the “agreement”. Therefore, Riyad hosted groups of opposition leaders for two weeks, but in the end, they did not get anywhere, and after that, the heat of the revolution in Yemen increased. Meanwhile, in the Saudi media, two members of the Al-Ahmar family – a family that has ruled Yemen for 32 years – Ali Mohsen Al-Ahmar and Sheikh Sadiq Al-Ahmar as “Leaders of the Revolution!” They maneuvered and the fact that these two and the Al-Ahmar family in general are considered mercenaries of Al Saud. After this plan also failed, they transferred Ali Abdullah Saleh to Saudi Arabia, but on the one hand they claimed that he went to Riyadh for treatment – treatment of injuries caused by the shelling of the presidential palace – and on the other hand They claimed that he will return to Sana’a after his treatment, and now, until the day before Saleh fled to Riyadh, the Al Saud government said that he should transfer power to his successor – Abd Rabbah. It was quite clear that Saudi Arabia is trying to throw a curtain on the victory of the Yemeni people with a propaganda maneuver so that no one understands that another Arab dependent dictator system has fallen!
۲- Yemen will definitely not return to the previous period after “Saleh” and the extensive activity of the West and the dependent Arab regimes will not be able to rebuild a dependent government in Sana’a. The people of Yemen have different groups and parties and tendencies, but almost none of these groups and personalities are under the burden of rebuilding the Saleh regime, so it can be said without even a little doubt that the future Yemen will definitely have an anti-Wahhabi and anti-Western identity. The latest poll by the American institute “Pew” shows that the rate of hatred of Yemenis towards America is more than 98% and their hatred towards Saudi rulers is more than 90%. It was for this reason that despite the fact that Saudi Arabia spends more than 8 billion dollars annually in Yemen to buy tribes, but with the beginning of the popular revolution in Yemen, it could not launch even a small demonstration in favor of its dependent regime and limited gatherings in favor of Saleh in the hall. It was held behind closed doors, it was too small to represent even a part of the Yemeni people. After Saleh, Yemen will distance itself from Wahhabism and the West, and it will come closer to the resistance front and especially to Iran, and hence it can be said that Iran’s political and economic situation in the Indian Ocean, the Red Sea, and the Mediterranean Sea will completely change. . As much as Saleh’s fall is the worst news for Riyadh and Washington, it is the best news for Islamic Iran.
۳- There are possibilities for Yemen after Saleh’s escape, and based on the possibilities ahead, Muslim governments and nations – especially us – have a duty. These possibilities are: First; Since no form of government – including the formation of a national unity government, a government elected by the people, a consensus government of tribes, a confederation, a federal government, etc. – is in the interest of Saudi Arabia and the United States, they will naturally go towards creating discord and creating internal conflict. . In Yemen, al-Qaeda forces and Salafis affiliated with Wahhabis can ignite the flames of terror and conflict for a while, which means repeating the Iraq scenario, which, of course, will not go anywhere. to face violence. Second; Considering Yemen’s need for fundamental change, of course, the discussion of drafting a new constitution and holding elections is considered the most important current need of Yemen. It is considered a necessity. Third; The historical differences between the southerners – the Bekil tribe – and the northerners – the Hashid tribe – and the religious differences of the southerners – the Shafi’i religion – with the northerners – the combination of the two Zaidi and Shafi’i religions – as well as the economic differences between the southerners and the northerners and the difference in the substance of the parties. North and South, it seems that the formation of the Yemeni confederation – that is, the unity of Yemen while the south and the north have local governments – is inevitable. In the end, it leads to the weakening of the central government and on the other hand, it creates the basis for the intervention of the United States and Saudi Arabia in Yemen, and therefore the Yemenis must carefully follow the legal debates among themselves in a “fraternal” atmosphere and the republic As the most important future ally of Yemen, Islami should help its old friends in the south and north of Yemen to quickly agree on the form of government and the contribution of different sectors in it. Iran should not leave its brothers in Yemen under the influence of Wahhabi and Western propaganda, on a day when they need our special help, and watch their situation from a distance, and should not ask them for brotherly terms and conditions through radio messages. Do it with yourself and with other Muslims!
۴- Yemen has had good experiences in recent years and these experiences can be used in the new government and get Yemen out of the period of instability faster. During the recent years, the southerners practically controlled the security of six southern provinces, and the Houthis practically controlled the security of the four northern provinces of this country in the period of Bahman 1388, to the point where even the governors of these provinces – Saada, Imran, Hajjah and Ab – They have received their ruling from Abdul Malik Houthi – the leader of the Houthis. This security experience is very valuable, while the southerners have at least 50,000 trained military forces and the Houthis have about 100,000 paramilitary forces – resistance forces – these two forces will be a very good support for the future government of Yemen and this can The situation of Yemen after Saleh is different from that of Iraq after Saddam.
۵- The fall of Ali Abdullah Saleh on the inspirational day of Khordad 15, the fall of Mubarak on the inspiring day of Bahman 22 and the fall of Bin Ali on December 26 – the day of Muhammad Reza Shah’s escape – metaphorically showed the serious connection of these revolutions with the Islamic revolution, but beyond It should not be doubted that with the fall of any dependent dictator, the way will be paved for the establishment of a popular, Islamic and anti-American government in each of the countries of the region, and of course, the addresses of “this same” of our revolution will increase over time. This is an exceptional opportunity that, according to the Supreme Leader of the Islamic Revolution, appears for a nation after 200-300 years, and now it has appeared all at once for our revolution, and it requires our timing and day-and-night efforts to maximize the benefits of Islam from these developments. is.
mostajar
